Here are the levels I’m working with this morning, pulled from your ES, NQ, and YM order-flow/volume-profile shots and lined up with today’s data releases.

Key inflection, support, resistance

ES1!

  • Key inflection and POC zone: 6,496 to 6,497

  • Near supports: 6,495, 6,492, 6,490

  • Near resistances: 6,500, 6,501 to 6,502

  • Read: Acceptance above 6,500 unlocks 6,501 to 6,502 sweep. Lose 6,495 and the door reopens to 6,492 to 6,490.

NQ1!

  • Key inflection and HVN: 23,895 to 23,903

  • Near supports: 23,893, 23,885, 23,872

  • Near resistances: 23,910, 23,920, 23,927

  • Read: Rotation inside 23,895 to 23,910 is balance. Break and hold over 23,920 targets 23,927. Failure under 23,893 favors 23,885 then 23,872.

YM1!

  • Key inflection: 45,254 to 45,269

  • Near supports: 45,236, 45,214

  • Near resistances: 45,280, 45,305, 45,319

  • Read: Sellers are leaning 45,300 to 45,319. Lose 45,254 and momentum can bleed to 45,236.

Best trading windows today, Aug 15, 2025

  • 8:30 to 10:15 ET — Retail Sales and Import-Export Prices hit at 8:30, then cash open volatility. Sentiment data at 10:00 can extend or reverse the first move. Surveys of ConsumersFRED

  • 14:00 to close — OPEX Friday flows can pin or unpin indices into the bell. Expect dealer-gamma effects around large strikes. forecastex.com

How to trade it

  • ES1! plan

    • Long above 6,500 with confirmation, target 6,501 to 6,502, trail quickly.

    • Short below 6,495 on acceptance, target 6,492 then 6,490, invalidate on a 6,497 reclaim.

  • NQ1! plan

    • Long above 23,910, target 23,920 then 23,927, risk under 23,895.

    • Short below 23,893, target 23,885 then 23,872, risk back inside 23,900.

  • YM1! plan

    • Long above 45,280 toward 45,305 to 45,319, risk back inside 45,269.

    • Short below 45,254 toward 45,236 then 45,214, risk on 45,269 reclaim.

Day bias

  • Into the data: balanced with quick two-way rotations around ES 6,496, NQ 23,900.

  • After 8:30 ET: look for a directional hour. If ES holds above 6,500 and NQ above 23,910, bias turns intraday bullish. Failure to hold those gates keeps chop intact until 10:00 ET. Surveys of Consumers

Trade well and stay nimble around the release windows.

 
 
 

How to trade NQ ES YM Aug 15, 2025

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8 days ago
How to trade ES NY YM on August 15, 2025. Possible economics news that will affect the market.

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